Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 57.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Albacete had a probability of 18.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.34%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for an Albacete win it was 0-1 (6.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.