Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Livorno had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.95%). The likeliest Livorno win was 1-0 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cittadella would win this match.