Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Pescara had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Pescara win was 1-0 (10.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
