Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 44.8%. A win for Pescara had a probability of 29.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Pescara win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.