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Serie B | Gameweek 32
Jul 3, 2020 at 8pm UK
Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
2 - 1
Juve Stabia

Akpa-Akpro (23'), Gondo (81')
Gondo (16'), Akpa-Akpro (47'), Dziczek (86'), Maistro (88')
Aya (5'), Jallow (15')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Forte (69')
Di Mariano (16'), Mallamo (42'), Troest (62'), Ricci (63'), Allievi (72'), Calvano (78'), Calo (89')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Salernitana and Juve Stabia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawJuve Stabia
49.8%26.41%23.8%
Both teams to score 46.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.01%56.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.11%77.89%
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.03%22.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.24%56.76%
Juve Stabia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47%39.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78%76.22%
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 49.79%
    Juve Stabia 23.8%
    Draw 26.4%
SalernitanaDrawJuve Stabia
1-0 @ 13.35%
2-0 @ 9.82%
2-1 @ 9.12%
3-0 @ 4.82%
3-1 @ 4.47%
3-2 @ 2.08%
4-0 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 49.79%
1-1 @ 12.39%
0-0 @ 9.08%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.43%
1-2 @ 5.75%
0-2 @ 3.91%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.31%
0-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 23.8%


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