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Serie B | Gameweek 29
Jun 19, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco, La Spezia, Italy
EL

Spezia Calcio
1 - 0
Empoli

Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Balkovec (43')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Empoli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia Calcio in this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
46.8%26.49%26.7%
Both teams to score 48.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.69%55.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.47%76.53%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.38%23.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.29%57.71%
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.97%36.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.19%72.81%
Score Analysis
    Spezia 46.8%
    Empoli 26.7%
    Draw 26.49%
SpeziaDrawEmpoli
1-0 @ 12.28%
2-1 @ 9.05%
2-0 @ 8.86%
3-1 @ 4.35%
3-0 @ 4.26%
3-2 @ 2.22%
4-1 @ 1.57%
4-0 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 46.8%
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.51%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.69%
1-2 @ 6.4%
0-2 @ 4.43%
1-3 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 1.57%
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 26.7%


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