Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Argentina Women had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Argentina Women win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil Women would win this match.