SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Skalica win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Zlate Moravce had a probability of 22.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Skalica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Zlate Moravce win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Skalica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Skalica | Draw | Zlate Moravce |
53.35% ( 0.48) | 24.08% ( -0.09) | 22.56% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.78% ( -0.05) | 49.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.72% ( -0.04) | 71.27% ( 0.03) |
| Skalica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.62% ( 0.17) | 18.37% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.49% ( 0.29) | 49.51% ( -0.29) |
| Zlate Moravce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.65% ( -0.4) | 36.34% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.86% ( -0.41) | 73.13% ( 0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Skalica | Draw | Zlate Moravce |
| 1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.35% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.81% Total : 22.56% |
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