SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Trnava win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Trencin had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Trnava win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Trencin win was 1-0 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Trnava would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Trencin | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
26.4% ( -0.16) | 24.67% ( -0.07) | 48.93% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 54.16% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.75% ( 0.2) | 48.25% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.6% ( 0.18) | 70.4% ( -0.18) |
| Trencin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.5% ( -0.02) | 32.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.97% ( -0.03) | 69.03% ( 0.03) |
| Spartak Trnava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.24% ( 0.18) | 19.76% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.2% ( 0.29) | 51.8% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Trencin | Draw | Spartak Trnava |
| 1-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 4.06% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.57% Total : 26.4% | 1-1 @ 11.7% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.42% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.67% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.44% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 5.13% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.08% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 48.93% |
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