Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nafta win with a probability of 38.86%. A win for Radomlje had a probability of 35.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nafta win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Radomlje win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nafta would win this match.
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