Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Bravo win with a probability of 43.95%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Bravo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NK Bravo would win this match.
