Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Gaziantep had a probability of 14.75%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Gaziantep win it was 1-2 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alanyaspor would win this match.