Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Caykur Rizespor win with a probability of 52.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Caykur Rizespor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.71%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Caykur Rizespor would win this match.