Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Denizlispor had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Denizlispor win was 1-0 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.