Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denizlispor win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.34% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denizlispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.