Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denizlispor win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Denizlispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Yeni Malatyaspor win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Denizlispor would win this match.