Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 61.76%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Yeni Malatyaspor had a probability of 16.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.24%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Yeni Malatyaspor win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.