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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 1
Sep 14, 2020 at 6pm UK
Antakya Atatürk Stadı
IB

Hatayspor
2 - 0
Istanbul

Ilgaz (36'), Barbosa (90+1')
Ribeiro (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Caicara (29'), Skrtel (54')
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Hatayspor and Istanbul Basaksehir.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hatayspor win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 33.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hatayspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hatayspor would win this match.

Result
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
40.3%26.09%33.61%
Both teams to score 53.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.11%50.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.23%72.76%
Hatayspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.12%24.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.51%59.49%
Istanbul Basaksehir Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27%28.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.43%64.56%
Score Analysis
    Hatayspor 40.3%
    Istanbul Basaksehir 33.61%
    Draw 26.08%
HataysporDrawIstanbul Basaksehir
1-0 @ 9.94%
2-1 @ 8.63%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 4%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.39%
4-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.15%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.08%
0-1 @ 8.91%
1-2 @ 7.73%
0-2 @ 5.56%
1-3 @ 3.22%
0-3 @ 2.31%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 33.61%


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