Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 53.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 22.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.