Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 36
May 12, 2024 at 5pm UK
Konya Buyuksehir Belediye Stadyumu
We said: Konyaspor 1-0 Samsunspor
Samsunspor may be five points better off than Konyaspor, but they have lost 13 of their 18 away games, and we think that Konyaspor could take advantage of their opponents' poor away record to claim a narrow victory in Sunday's contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Konyaspor win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Konyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Konyaspor would win this match.
| Result |
| Konyaspor | Draw | Samsunspor |
41.97% ( 0.07) | 26.63% ( -0.02) | 31.4% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( 0.05) |
| 46.33% ( 0.07) | 53.68% ( -0.07) |
| 24.84% ( 0.06) | 75.17% ( -0.06) |
| 74.73% ( 0.07) | 25.27% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.97% ( 0.09) | 60.03% ( -0.09) |
| 68.41% ( 0.01) | 31.6% ( -0) |
