Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeni Malatyaspor win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Genclerbirligi had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeni Malatyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Genclerbirligi win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeni Malatyaspor would win this match.