Lugano
2 - 1
Basel

Gerndt (74'), Holender (79')
Lovric (44'), Sabbatini (85'), Maric (89'), Yao (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Arthur (90')
Alderete (26'), Petretta (67'), Frei (80'), Stocker (83'), Arthur (85')
Alderete (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 19.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-0 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Lugano	Draw	Basel
19.14%	23.07%	57.79%

Both teams to score 50.11%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.84%

49.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.77%

71.23%

Lugano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.18%

39.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.52%

76.48%

Basel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.26%

16.74%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.34%

46.66%

Score Analysis

Lugano 19.14%

Basel 57.78%

Draw 23.07%

Lugano	Draw	Basel
1-0 @ 6.14% 2-1 @ 5.05% 2-0 @ 2.83% 3-1 @ 1.55% 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.14%	1-1 @ 10.97% 0-0 @ 6.67% 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.92% Total : 23.07%	0-1 @ 11.91% 0-2 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 5.84% 0-4 @ 2.83% 2-3 @ 2.69% 1-4 @ 2.61% 2-4 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 1.01% 1-5 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.96% Total : 57.78%