Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for FC Zurich had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest FC Zurich win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luzern in this match.