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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 28
Jul 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
Swissporarena

Luzern
3 - 0
Thun

Alves (10'), Margiotta (13'), Schurpf (62')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Havenaar (15'), Bertone (15'), Roth (74')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Luzern and Thun.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luzern win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Thun had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luzern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.08%). The likeliest Thun win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luzern would win this match.

Result
LuzernDrawThun
43.79%24.79%31.41%
Both teams to score 57.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.07%45.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.76%68.24%
Luzern Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.97%21.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.18%53.82%
Thun Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.29%27.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.73%63.27%
Score Analysis
    Luzern 43.79%
    Thun 31.41%
    Draw 24.79%
LuzernDrawThun
2-1 @ 9.09%
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-0 @ 7.08%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.03%
4-1 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.44%
4-2 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 43.79%
1-1 @ 11.66%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 5.83%
3-3 @ 1.3%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 7.48%
0-2 @ 4.8%
1-3 @ 3.2%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 31.41%


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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