Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trofense win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trofense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Sporting Covilha win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.