Coverage of the Taca da Liga Quarter-Finals clash between Vilafranquense and Arouca.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Vilafranquense had a probability of 27.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Vilafranquense win it was 1-0 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
