Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Academico de Viseu win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Camacha had a probability of 32% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Academico de Viseu win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Camacha win was 0-1 (9.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Academico de Viseu would win this match.
0.51) 
-0.18) 
