Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Amarante
Alves da Silva (16'), Manuel Lobo Pires Semedo (19' pen., 34' pen., 44'), Gaimal Faissal Zangre (81'), Miguel Mota Silva (89')
FT(HT: 4-1)
Warllison Rodrigues Oliveira (6')
Franca Fernandes (18'), Carmassi Neto (33'), Fernando Sousa Medeiros (52'), Warllison Rodrigues Oliveira (85')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Amarante and Juventude Lajense.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Amarante win with a probability of 80.56%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Juventude Lajense had a probability of 6.23%.
The most likely scoreline for an Amarante win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.02%) and 1-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Juventude Lajense win it was 0-1 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Amarante would win this match.
| Result |
| Amarante | Draw | Juventude Lajense |
80.56% ( -0.07) | 13.21% ( 0.03) | 6.23% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.61% ( 0.13) |
| 62.28% ( 0.03) | 37.71% ( -0.03) |
| 40.04% ( 0.03) | 59.95% ( -0.03) |
| 92.7% ( -0.01) | 7.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.59% ( -0.02) | 26.4% ( 0.02) |
| 44.89% ( 0.15) | 55.11% ( -0.15) |
