Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino
O Elvas win 4-2 on penalties
Nketia (35')
Almara (43'), Djalo (46'), Dias (60'), Innusah (115')
FT
(aet)
Moura (90+4')
Pedro (45+3'), Moura (81')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between O Elvas and Tirsense.
Form, Standings, Stats
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tirsense win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for O Elvas had a probability of 22.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tirsense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.33%) and 1-2 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.34%), while for a O Elvas win it was 1-0 (8.41%).
Result |
O Elvas | Draw | Tirsense |
22.48% ( 0.21) | 26.52% ( -0.09) | 51% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 44.91% ( 0.45) |
41.55% ( 0.47) | 58.45% ( -0.47) |
20.96% ( 0.36) | 79.04% ( -0.36) |
58.36% ( 0.48) | 41.63% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.88% ( 0.42) | 78.11% ( -0.42) |
76.95% ( 0.14) | 23.05% ( -0.14) |