Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Camara de Lobos
Andre Frade Freire (57')
Tiago Milagres Saleiro Silva (12'), Ornellas Santiago Pinto (82'), Augusto Constantin (87')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Djadjo (15'), Filipe Freitas Brandao (28')
Filipe Freitas Brandao (50'), Touoyou Njoya (61'), Pedro Barbosa Mota (76')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Os Marialvas and Rebordosa.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rebordosa win with a probability of 55.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Os Marialvas had a probability of 20.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rebordosa win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.79%) and 1-2 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.66%), while for a Os Marialvas win it was 1-0 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rebordosa would win this match.
| Result |
| Os Marialvas | Draw | Rebordosa |
20.27% ( 1.07) | 24.72% ( 0.55) | 55.01% ( -1.61) |
| Both teams to score 47.03% ( 0.05) |
| 45.83% ( -0.78) | 54.17% ( 0.78) |
| 24.42% ( -0.66) | 75.58% ( 0.66) |
| 58.52% ( 0.73) | 41.47% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.02% ( 0.63) | 77.97% ( -0.63) |
| 80.37% ( -0.92) | 19.63% ( 0.92) |
