Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vilaverdense win with a probability of 55%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Oliveira Hospital had a probability of 20.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vilaverdense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Oliveira Hospital win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vilaverdense would win this match.
