SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ukraine Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | France Under-19s | 3 | 9 | 6 |
| 3 | England Under-19s | 3 | -4 | 4 |
| 4 | Turkey Under-19s | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-19s win with a probability of 49.29%. A win for Serbia Under-19s had a probability of 25.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a England Under-19s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Serbia Under-19s win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England Under-19s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| England Under-19s | Draw | Serbia Under-19s |
49.29% ( 0.03) | 24.92% ( -0) | 25.78% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.82% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.24% ( 0.01) | 49.76% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.23% ( 0) | 71.76% ( -0) |
| England Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.79% ( 0.02) | 20.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.48% ( 0.02) | 52.52% ( -0.02) |
| Serbia Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( -0.02) | 33.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( -0.02) | 70.46% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| England Under-19s | Draw | Serbia Under-19s |
| 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 49.29% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.91% | 0-1 @ 7.41% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.02% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.45% ( -0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 25.78% |
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