SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-19s win with a probability of 48.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Turkey Under-19s had a probability of 24.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a France Under-19s win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Turkey Under-19s win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Under-19s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| France Under-19s | Draw | Turkey Under-19s |
48.42% ( 0.2) | 26.62% ( -0.06) | 24.96% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.09% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.1% ( 0.12) | 56.9% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.19% ( 0.1) | 77.81% ( -0.1) |
| France Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.45% ( 0.14) | 23.55% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.39% ( 0.21) | 57.61% ( -0.21) |
| Turkey Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.59% ( -0.05) | 38.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.84% ( -0.05) | 75.16% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| France Under-19s | Draw | Turkey Under-19s |
| 1-0 @ 13.08% 2-0 @ 9.46% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.56% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 48.42% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0)Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.61% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 24.96% |
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