European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage
Jul 4, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
MFA Centenary Stadium
Thorsteinsson (90+1')
Gudjon Brynjolfsson (52'), Aron Gudmundsson (56'), Andri Haraldsson (83')
Gudjon Brynjolfsson (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Iceland Under-19s and Spain Under-19s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-19s win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Iceland Under-19s had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-19s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.43%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Iceland Under-19s win was 1-0 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spain Under-19s would win this match.
| Result |
| Iceland Under-19s | Draw | Spain Under-19s |
26.53% ( -0.04) | 24.94% | 48.52% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.4% ( -0.03) |
| 50.69% ( -0.02) | 49.3% ( 0.02) |
| 28.64% ( -0.02) | 71.35% ( 0.02) |
| 67.05% ( -0.04) | 32.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.47% ( -0.05) | 69.53% ( 0.04) |
| 79.65% ( 0.01) | 20.35% ( -0.01) |
