SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Italy Under-19s | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Portugal Under-19s | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Norway Under-19s | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 4 | Finland Under-19s | 3 | -5 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 42.98%. A win for Slovakia Under-19s had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.61%) and 1-3 (5.25%). The likeliest Slovakia Under-19s win was 2-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy Under-19s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Slovakia Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
34.83% ( 0.01) | 22.2% ( -0.01) | 42.98% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 68% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.79% ( 0.02) | 32.21% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.19% ( 0.02) | 53.81% ( -0.02) |
| Slovakia Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.75% ( 0.02) | 19.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% ( 0.02) | 50.98% ( -0.02) |
| Italy Under-19s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( 0.01) | 15.79% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.07% ( 0.01) | 44.93% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Slovakia Under-19s | Draw | Italy Under-19s |
| 2-1 @ 7.61% 1-0 @ 5.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.18% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.13% 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)4-3 @ 0.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.83% | 1-1 @ 9.25% ( -0) 2-2 @ 7.03% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.04% ( -0)3-3 @ 2.37% ( 0)Other @ 0.51% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.25% 0-2 @ 5.18% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.32% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.42% 2-4 @ 2% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 3.9% Total : 42.98% |
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