Under-20s World Cup | Group Stage
May 21, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Malvinas Argentinas
Coverage of the Under-20s World Cup Group Stage clash between Italy Under-20s and Brazil Under-20s.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-20s win with a probability of 52.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Brazil Under-20s had a probability of 20.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-20s win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.85%) and 2-1 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.11%), while for a Brazil Under-20s win it was 0-1 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Italy Under-20s would win this match.
| Result |
| Italy Under-20s | Draw | Brazil Under-20s |
52.93% ( 0.32) | 26.1% ( -0.13) | 20.97% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 44.24% ( 0.11) |
| 41.63% ( 0.27) | 58.37% ( -0.27) |
| 21.02% ( 0.21) | 78.98% ( -0.21) |
| 77.82% ( 0.25) | 22.18% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.42% ( 0.37) | 55.58% ( -0.38) |
| 56.85% ( -0.04) | 43.15% ( 0.04) |
