Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belgium Under-21s win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Wales Under-21s had a probability of 14.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belgium Under-21s win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.63%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.81%), while for a Wales Under-21s win it was 0-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belgium Under-21s would win this match.