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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 3, 2020 at 6pm UK
Stadion Maksimir

Croatia U21s
5 - 0
Greece U21s

Moro (1'), Majer (5', 24'), Musa (14', 52')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Alexandropoulos (27'), Diamantis (45+1')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Croatia Under-21s and Greece Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greece Under-21s had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Greece Under-21s win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Croatia Under-21sDrawGreece Under-21s
53.88%24.42%21.7%
Both teams to score 49.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.51%51.49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71%73.29%
Croatia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.96%19.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.37%50.63%
Greece Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54%38.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79%75.21%
Score Analysis
    Croatia Under-21s 53.87%
    Greece Under-21s 21.7%
    Draw 24.42%
Croatia Under-21sDrawGreece Under-21s
1-0 @ 12.14%
2-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.63%
3-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 2.54%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.21%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 53.87%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 4.6%
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 24.42%
0-1 @ 7%
1-2 @ 5.55%
0-2 @ 3.34%
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.47%
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 21.7%


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