Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia Under-21s win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Greece Under-21s had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Greece Under-21s win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Croatia Under-21s would win this match.