SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Under-21s win with a probability of 89.56%. A draw had a probability of 7.7% and a win for Moldova Under-21s had a probability of 2.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Under-21s win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.87%) and 4-0 (11.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Moldova Under-21s win it was 0-1 (1.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Germany Under-21s | Draw | Moldova Under-21s |
| 89.56% | 7.74% | 2.7% |
| Both teams to score 35.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.27% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.9% | 49.1% |
| Germany Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.14% | 3.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 83.56% | 16.44% |
| Moldova Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.11% | 62.89% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 7.94% | 92.06% |
| Score Analysis |
| Germany Under-21s | Draw | Moldova Under-21s |
| 3-0 @ 13.97% 2-0 @ 12.87% 4-0 @ 11.37% 1-0 @ 7.91% 5-0 @ 7.41% 3-1 @ 6.48% 2-1 @ 5.97% 4-1 @ 5.28% 6-0 @ 4.02% 5-1 @ 3.44% 7-0 @ 1.87% 6-1 @ 1.86% 3-2 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 4.38% Total : 89.55% | 1-1 @ 3.67% 0-0 @ 2.43% 2-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 0.26% Total : 7.74% | 0-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.58% Total : 2.7% |
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