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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 4, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Laugardalsvollur

Iceland U21s
1 - 0
Sweden U21s

Aron Gudjohnsen (66')
Thor Ingimundarson (54'), Thor Hauksson (62'), Darri Willumsson (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Gyokeres (62')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Iceland Under-21s and Sweden Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland Under-21s win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Sweden Under-21s had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.83%) and 2-0 (5.12%). The likeliest Sweden Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iceland Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Iceland Under-21sDrawSweden Under-21s
40.96%22.58%36.45%
Both teams to score 66.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.16%33.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.32%55.68%
Iceland Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76%17.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45%47.55%
Sweden Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78%19.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08%50.92%
Score Analysis
    Iceland Under-21s 40.96%
    Sweden Under-21s 36.46%
    Draw 22.58%
Iceland Under-21sDrawSweden Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.44%
1-0 @ 5.83%
2-0 @ 5.12%
3-1 @ 4.95%
3-2 @ 4.08%
3-0 @ 3%
4-1 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.32%
4-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 40.96%
1-1 @ 9.61%
2-2 @ 6.96%
0-0 @ 3.31%
3-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.58%
1-2 @ 7.92%
0-1 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 4.36%
2-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.8%
2-4 @ 1.58%
0-4 @ 1.02%
3-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.46%


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