Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel Under-21s win with a probability of 55.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Kazakhstan Under-21s had a probability of 21.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Kazakhstan Under-21s win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.