Kosovo U21s
0 - 6
England U21s

Hajrizi (60'), Kryeziu (70')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nketiah (51', 55', 61' pen.), Nelson (66'), Sessegnon (82'), Bellingham (85')

Data Analysis

Aidy Boothroyd heaps praise on hat-trick hero Eddie Nketiah after Kosovo rout

The Match

Match Report

The Arsenal striker grabbed all three of his goals in a 10-minute spell early in the second half.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England Under-21s win with a probability of 85.82%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Kosovo Under-21s had a probability of 3.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a England Under-21s win was 0-2 with a probability of 16.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (15.01%) and 0-1 (12.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.77%), while for a Kosovo Under-21s win it was 1-0 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that England Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Kosovo Under-21s	Draw	England Under-21s
3.39%	10.78%	85.82%

Both teams to score 29.68%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.29%

40.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.89%

63.1%

Kosovo Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

31.85%

68.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

5.71%

94.28%

England Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.21%

6.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.94%

25.06%

Score Analysis

Kosovo Under-21s 3.39%

England Under-21s 85.79%

Draw 10.78%

Kosovo Under-21s	Draw	England Under-21s
1-0 @ 1.77% 2-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.71% Total : 3.39%	1-1 @ 4.77% 0-0 @ 4.63% 2-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.15% Total : 10.78%	0-2 @ 16.74% 0-3 @ 15.01% 0-1 @ 12.44% 0-4 @ 10.09% 1-2 @ 6.42% 1-3 @ 5.76% 0-5 @ 5.43% 1-4 @ 3.87% 0-6 @ 2.44% 1-5 @ 2.08% 2-3 @ 1.1% 0-7 @ 0.94% 1-6 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.53% Total : 85.79%