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European Under-21s Championship | Qualifying Round
Sep 8, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Josy Barthel

Luxembourg U21s
2 - 1
Armenia U21s

Korac (37'), Avdusinovic (90+4')
Schaus (27'), Medina (33'), Avdusinovic (59'), Korac (68')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Harutyunyan (24')
Melkonyan (44'), Arakelyan (55'), Mkrtchyan (67'), Kocharyan (70'), Grigoryan (89')
Kocharyan (83'), Grigoryan (89')
Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Luxembourg Under-21s and Armenia Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg Under-21s win with a probability of 41.84%. A win for Armenia Under-21s had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.29%). The likeliest Armenia Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luxembourg Under-21s in this match.

Result
Luxembourg Under-21sDrawArmenia Under-21s
41.84%24.19%33.97%
Both teams to score 60.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.7%42.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.29%64.7%
Luxembourg Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.61%20.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.19%52.81%
Armenia Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.6%24.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.18%58.81%
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg Under-21s 41.84%
    Armenia Under-21s 33.97%
    Draw 24.18%
Luxembourg Under-21sDrawArmenia Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.87%
1-0 @ 7.91%
2-0 @ 6.29%
3-1 @ 4.7%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.33%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 41.84%
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 6.26%
0-0 @ 4.97%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.18%
1-2 @ 7.87%
0-1 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.95%
1-3 @ 3.7%
2-3 @ 2.94%
0-3 @ 2.33%
1-4 @ 1.31%
2-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 33.97%


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