Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malta Under-21s win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Northern Ireland Under-21s had a probability of 37.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malta Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.33%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Northern Ireland Under-21s win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.