Portugal U21s
4 - 1
Norway U21s

Neto (6', 16'), Fonseca (69'), Fernandes (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Strand Larsen (34')
Evjen (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Portugal Under-21s and Norway Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal Under-21s win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Norway Under-21s had a probability of 34.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Norway Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Portugal Under-21s	Draw	Norway Under-21s
41.7%	24.18%	34.11%

Both teams to score 60.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.77%

42.22%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.37%

64.63%

Portugal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.57%

20.42%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.13%

52.86%

Norway Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.72%

24.28%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.35%

58.64%

Score Analysis

Portugal Under-21s 41.7%

Norway Under-21s 34.11%

Draw 24.17%

Portugal Under-21s	Draw	Norway Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.86% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 6.26% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.31% 4-1 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.9% Total : 41.7%	1-1 @ 11.14% 2-2 @ 6.27% 0-0 @ 4.96% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.17%	1-2 @ 7.89% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 4.97% 1-3 @ 3.72% 2-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.32% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.11%