Russia U21s
2 - 0
Bulgaria U21s

Glushenkov (1'), Davydov (65')
Glushenkov (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Yordanov (59')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the European Under-21s Championship Qualifying Round clash between Russia Under-21s and Bulgaria Under-21s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Russia Under-21s win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Bulgaria Under-21s had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Russia Under-21s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Bulgaria Under-21s win was 0-1 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Russia Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Russia Under-21s	Draw	Bulgaria Under-21s
43.25%	27.75%	29%

Both teams to score 46.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.27%

58.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.74%

79.26%

Russia Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.08%

26.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.75%

62.25%

Bulgaria Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.97%

36.03%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.19%

72.81%

Score Analysis

Russia Under-21s 43.24%

Bulgaria Under-21s 29%

Draw 27.75%

Russia Under-21s	Draw	Bulgaria Under-21s
1-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 8.53% 2-0 @ 8.35% 3-1 @ 3.73% 3-0 @ 3.65% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.22% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.24%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.7% 2-2 @ 4.35% Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.75%	0-1 @ 9.9% 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-2 @ 5.05% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.72% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 1.95% Total : 29%