Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnipro-1 win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Olimpik Donetsk had a probability of 30.28% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnipro-1 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Olimpik Donetsk win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dnipro-1 would win this match.