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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 4
Jun 19, 2020 at 3pm UK
Volodymyr Boiko Stadium
FL

Mariupol
3 - 0
Lviv

Fomin (5', 27'), Kashchuk (90+4')
Fedorchuk (2'), Chobotenko (51'), Yavorskyi (64'), Polehenko (69'), Kashchuk (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nych (21'), Bratkov (42'), Bopesu (45'), Pryymak (85'), Kravchuk (90+3')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Mariupol and FC Lviv.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mariupol win with a probability of 45.4%. A win for FC Lviv had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mariupol win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest FC Lviv win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mariupol would win this match.

Result
MariupolDrawFC Lviv
45.4%25.32%29.28%
Both teams to score 54.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.79%49.21%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73%71.27%
Mariupol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.32%21.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19%54.81%
FC Lviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.18%30.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.91%67.09%
Score Analysis
    Mariupol 45.4%
    FC Lviv 29.28%
    Draw 25.32%
MariupolDrawFC Lviv
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 7.81%
3-1 @ 4.69%
3-0 @ 3.98%
3-2 @ 2.76%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.52%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 45.4%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.68%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.86%
1-2 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 4.63%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.12%
0-3 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3%
Total : 29.28%


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