Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 40.64%. A win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metal Kharkiv would win this match.
-0.19) 
0.5) 
