Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zorya Luhansk win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Kolos Kovalivka had a probability of 17.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zorya Luhansk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.64%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Kolos Kovalivka win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Zorya Luhansk in this match.